UC Davis
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
105  Sarah Sumpter SR 20:04
210  Alycia Cridebring SR 20:24
232  Katie Fry JR 20:27
569  Hannah Kirkegaard FR 21:03
617  Christine Hoffmann SO 21:07
642  Shannon Harcus SR 21:10
690  Anna Welsh SO 21:12
774  Erika Barr SO 21:18
898  Rocki Lambdin JR 21:26
1,015  Hilary Teaford SR 21:34
1,576  Olivia Goins FR 22:09
1,678  Katherine Ott SO 22:15
1,728  Rianna Goins FR 22:18
1,734  Clara Macleod FR 22:18
1,890  Nicole Lane SO 22:28
2,144  Kayla Knapp FR 22:45
2,299  Julia Yang SO 22:55
3,040  Kaz Shidara FR 23:56
National Rank #45 of 340
West Region Rank #10 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 3.9%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.8%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 2.2%
Top 10 in Regional 68.2%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sarah Sumpter Alycia Cridebring Katie Fry Hannah Kirkegaard Christine Hoffmann Shannon Harcus Anna Welsh Erika Barr Rocki Lambdin Hilary Teaford Olivia Goins
Stanford Invitational 09/28 1267 22:21
Sacremento State Inter-Regional Jamboree 10/04 880 19:58 20:39 21:08 21:34 21:06 20:46 21:29 21:34
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 792 19:51 20:49 20:32 20:29 21:24 21:11
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/19 1258 21:57
Big West Championships 11/02 771 20:24 20:24 20:06 22:17 21:08 20:44 21:53 21:15 21:37
West Region Championships 11/15 719 20:14 20:01 20:28 20:53 20:42 21:23 21:19





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 3.9% 24.2 573 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 9.5 283 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 6.2 10.3 14.8 17.9 16.8 13.7 9.2 5.1 2.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Sumpter 10.6% 75.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Alycia Cridebring 4.1% 115.8
Katie Fry 4.0% 124.3
Hannah Kirkegaard 3.9% 211.0
Christine Hoffmann 3.9% 223.2
Shannon Harcus 3.9% 224.4
Anna Welsh 3.9% 228.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Sumpter 21.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.4 3.0 3.4 3.7 5.1 4.8 5.5 4.1 4.4 4.4 4.1 3.9 4.0 3.6 3.6 3.2
Alycia Cridebring 41.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.6 1.6
Katie Fry 44.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.3
Hannah Kirkegaard 87.6
Christine Hoffmann 94.0
Shannon Harcus 96.8
Anna Welsh 101.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 2
3 0.1% 100.0% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 3
4 0.4% 80.0% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 4
5 1.6% 56.1% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.9 5
6 6.2% 29.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 4.4 1.8 6
7 10.3% 6.4% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 9.7 0.7 7
8 14.8% 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.7 0.1 8
9 17.9% 17.9 9
10 16.8% 16.8 10
11 13.7% 13.7 11
12 9.2% 9.2 12
13 5.1% 5.1 13
14 2.5% 2.5 14
15 0.8% 0.8 15
16 0.4% 0.4 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 0.0% 0.0 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 3.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 96.1 0.0 3.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas A&M 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Florida 29.1% 1.0 0.3
BYU 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Texas 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Duke 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
Columbia 1.5% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Stony Brook 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0